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050 4 QA 298 V9
082 00 658.4/0352|222
100 1 Vose, David.
245 10 Risk analysis :|ba quantitative guide /|cDavid Vose.
250 3rd ed.
260 Chichester, England ;|aHoboken, NJ :|bWiley,|cc2008.
300 xiv, 735 p. :|bill. ;|c26 cm.
505 0 Why do a risk analysis? -- Planning a risk analysis -- The
quality of a risk analysis -- Choice of model structure --
Understanding and using the results of a risk analysis --
Probability mathematics and simulation -- Building and
running a model -- Some basic random processes -- Data and
statistics -- Fitting distributions to data -- Sums of
random variables -- Forecasting with uncertainty --
Modelling correlation and dependencies -- Eliciting from
expert opinion -- Testing and modelling causal
relationships -- Optimisation in risk analysis -- Checking
and validating a model -- Discounted cashflow modelling --
Project risk analysis -- Insurance and finance risk
analysis modelling -- Microbial food safety risk
assessment -- Animal import risk assessment.
650 0 Monte Carlo method.
650 0 Risk assessment|xMathematical models.
|